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Russia: Putin boosted by hosting summit as Modi calls for peace

25 Oct 2024

Arriving for the latest BRICS summit, Narendra Modi has told Vladimir Putin that India desires peace in Ukraine and is willing to assist in achieving a ceasefire. Putin has used the BRICS platform to highlight the non-Western world’s influence, despite efforts by the West to isolate Russia. BRICS is an intergovernmental organization comprising Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. The summit, involving leaders from 22 nations, including China’s president Xi Jinping, altogether represents 45% of the world's population and 35% of its economy. This showcases BRICS' growing global significance, a welcome boost for Putin. When asked about the prospects for peace, he claimed that the West had now realised that Russia would be victorious, but he was open to peace talks based on the ceasefire agreements reached in Istanbul in April 2022. One Russian source stressed that much depended on the result of the US presidential election on 5 November.

Hungary: Orbán claims EU wants to install a puppet regime

25 Oct 2024

In a fiery speech commemorating the 1956 uprising, Viktor Orbán has accused the EU of plotting to topple his government and install a ‘puppet regime’. He compared past occupations of Hungary by the Ottoman Empire and the Soviet Union to current tensions with the EU. He also claimed the EU is pushing Hungary into Russia's war in Ukraine, criticising Brussels' support for Kyiv. Hungary has repeatedly blocked or diluted EU sanctions on Russia and aid to Ukraine, aligning itself closer to Moscow. Also, Orban’s government has recently been fined €200 million by the European Court of Justice for ‘unprecedented and exceptionally serious breach of EU law’ because of the country's strong restrictions on the right to asylum.

Seoul vows response as North Korean troops head to Ukraine

25 Oct 2024

South Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol has vowed that his government ‘won’t sit idle’ following reports that North Korea has sent three thousand troops to support Russia in its war against Ukraine. In a meeting with the Polish president, Yoon said that this deployment violates UN resolutions and threatens global security. South Korea’s spy agency says North Korea aims to send up to ten thousand troops to Russia by the end of 2024, though both Moscow and Pyongyang deny the claims. In response, Yoon indicated that South Korea is preparing diplomatic, economic, and military countermeasures in collaboration with allies, including possibly providing Ukraine with weapons systems. While South Korea has so far only supplied Ukraine with non-lethal aid, the situation may prompt a shift in policy. Tensions in the Korean peninsula have intensified as North Korea has reportedly used Russia's invasion of Ukraine as an opportunity to enhance its nuclear and missile programmes. The two leaders also discussed expanding defence cooperation, including new arms deals for Polish military upgrades. See

China / India: border agreement, but ‘trust issues’ remain

25 Oct 2024

India and China have agreed to resume patrols along the disputed Line of Actual Control (LAC) in eastern Ladakh, signalling a potential reduction in tensions following their 2020 clash in Galwan Valley in which twenty Indian soldiers were killed. Both nations have longstanding territorial claims in this region. However, a day after this agreement was announced, Indian army chief General Upendra Dwivedi stated that significant trust issues remain, and restoring confidence between the nations is crucial for further progress. He said that both nations need to be reassured before carrying out a disengagement process: patrolling along the border would help that process, as ‘we will be able to see each other and check that we are not creeping into buffer zones’.